Browsing by Subject "P17"

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  • Égert, Balázs; Halpern, László (2005)
    BOFIT Discussion Papers 4/2005
    Published in Journal of Banking & Finance 30 (2006), pp. 1359-1374
    This paper analyses the ever-growing literature on equilibrium exchange rates in the new EU member states of Central and Eastern Europe in a quantitative manner using meta-regression analysis.The results indicate that the real misalignments reported in the literature are systematically influenced, inter alia, by the underlying theoretical concepts (Balassa-Samuelson effect, Behavioural Equilibrium Exchange Rate, Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate) and by the econometric estimation methods.The important implication of these findings is that a systematic analysis is needed in terms of both alternative economic and econometric specifications to assess equilibrium exchange rates. JEL: C15, E31, F31, O11, P17. Keywords: equilibrium exchange rate, Balassa-Samuelson effect, meta-analysis
  • Égert, Balázs (2005)
    BOFIT Discussion Papers 3/2005
    Published in Economic Systems vol. 29, no 2 (2005), pp. 123-282
    This paper investigates the equilibrium exchange rates of three Southeastern European countries (Bulgaria, Croatia and Romania), of two CIS economies (Russia and Ukraine) and of Turkey.A systematic approach in terms of different time horizons at which the equilibrium exchange rate is assessed is conducted, combined with a careful analysis of country-specific factors.For Russia, a first look is taken at the Dutch Disease phenomenon as a possible driving force behind equilibrium exchange rates.A unified framework including productivity and net foreign assets completed with a set control variables such as openness, public debt and public expenditures is used to compute total real misalignment bands. JEL: E31, O11, P17 Keywords: Balassa-Samuelson, Dutch Disease, Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania, Russia, Ukraine, Turkey