Evaluating international impacts of China-specific shocks in an input-output framework

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Title: Evaluating international impacts of China-specific shocks in an input-output framework
ISBN: 978-952-323-292-1
Author: Simola, Heli
Organization: Bank of Finland
Department / Unit: Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)
Series: BOFIT Discussion Papers
ISSN: 1456-5889
Series year: 2019
Series number: 17/2019
Year of publication: 2019
Publication date: 6.9.2019
Pages: 27
Subject (yso): tuotantoketjut; häiriöt; leviäminen; tuotanto
Keywords: Bofit-kokoelma; Kiina; panos-tuotos
JEL: C67; F14; F43
Other keywords: Chinese economy; shock transmission; input-output; international production network
Abstract: The slowing in China’s massive economy has wide implications. China plays an essential role in international production chains, so disturbances can spill over to other economies in the global production network. We evaluate the international transmission and impact of various China-specific shocks with an input-output framework applied to the World Input-Output Database (WIOD). We consider shocks to Chinese final demand at the aggregate level, bilateral import tariffs between the US and China and sector-specific shocks to Chinese final demand and supply. Our results suggest that aggregate level shocks, as well as certain sector-specific shocks originating in China, may have large impacts elsewhere. Transmission of shocks through the global production network, however, is mitigated by the relatively low import-intensity of Chinese production.
Rights: https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/copyright

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