Assessing the mid-term growth outlook for the Indian economy

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dc.contributor Bank of Finland
dc.contributor.author Barker, Jamie
dc.contributor.author Herrala, Risto
dc.date.accessioned 2021-06-14T12:00:35Z
dc.date.available 2021-06-14T12:00:35Z
dc.date.issued 2021
dc.identifier.issn 2342-205X
dc.identifier.uri https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/handle/123456789/18005
dc.description.abstract Since embarking on economic reform in 1991, India has experienced three decades of rapid economic development. Recently, however, there has been significant uncertainty about the growth outlook of the Indian economy in the mid-term perspective. In this paper we use standard regression techniques to project the path of the Indian economy over the next 4 years. The analysis, which abstracts from the pandemic period, mainly serves as support to forecasting the global economy. After the pandemic, GDP growth is projected to rebound this year and then slide to-wards 6 ‒ 7% in the medium term. The analysis broadly agrees with the recent projections of India’s mid-term growth rate by other institutions.
dc.description.tableofcontents Abstract .....4 1. Introduction .....5 2. The empirical approach .....5 3. Model selection .....7 4. Projections .....8 5. Discussion and conclusions .....10 References .....12
dc.format.extent 13
dc.language.iso ENG
dc.rights https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/copyright
dc.subject Bofit-kokoelma
dc.subject Intia
dc.subject BKT
dc.subject.other Indian economy
dc.subject.other forecasting
dc.subject.other GDP growth
dc.title Assessing the mid-term growth outlook for the Indian economy
dc.type Paper
dc.identifier.urn URN:NBN:fi:bof-202106141292
dc.series.name BOFIT Policy Brief
dc.series.year 2021
dc.series.number 8/2021
dc.series.sortingnumber 0008
dc.date.publication 14.6.2021
dc.subject.yso talouskasvu
dc.subject.yso bruttokansantuote
dc.subject.yso ennusteet
dc.contributor.orgunit Suomen Pankin nousevien talouksien tutkimuslaitos (BOFIT)
dc.contributor.orgunit Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT)
bof-internal.includedInCRIS 1
dc.type.okm D4

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