Business surveys and inflation forecasting in China
| Titel: | Business surveys and inflation forecasting in China |
| Författare: | Kaaresvirta, Juuso ; Mehrotra, Aaron |
| Institution: | Bank of Finland |
| Avdelning / Enhet: | Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT) |
| Serie: | BOFIT Discussion Papers |
| Serienumber: | 22/2008 |
| Utgivningsår: | 2008 |
| Utgivningsdatum: | 22.11.2008 |
| Publicerad i: | Published in Economic change and restructuring, vol. 42, no. 4 (2009), pp. 263-271 |
| Sidor: | 15 s. |
| Nyckelord: | Kiina; ennusteet; hinnat; inflaatio; indikaattorit; yritykset; Bofit-kokoelma |
| JEL: | C53; E31 |
| Abstrakt: | We use business survey data collected by the People's Bank of China for inflation forecast-ing. Some survey indicators lead to enhanced forecasting performance relative to the uni-variate benchmark model, especially for a period of moderate inflation. However, the esti-mated models do not do a good job of tracking the recent pickup in Chinese inflation, due to increases in food prices. Keywords: inflation forecasting; business surveys; China. JEL classification: C53; E31. |
| Licens: | https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/copyright |
Filer under denna titel
Total number of downloads: Loading...
| Filer | Storlek | Format | Granska |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160322.pdf | 421.5Kb | Granska/Öppna |