Similarity of supply and demand shocks between the euro area and the accession countries

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Title: Similarity of supply and demand shocks between the euro area and the accession countries
Author: Fidrmuc, Jarko ; Korhonen, Iikka
Organization: Bank of Finland
Department / Unit: Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)
Series: BOFIT Discussion Papers
Series number: 14/2001
Year of publication: 2001
Publication date: 30.6.2001
Published in: Published in Economic Systems vol 27, no 3 (2003), pp. 313-334
Ilmestynyt myös: Focus on Transition 2/2001.
Pages: 38 s.
Keywords: tarjonta; kysyntä; häiriöt; euroalue; KIE; integraatio; EMU; Itä-Eurooppa; kansantaloustiede; Bofit-kokoelma; optimaalinen valuutta-alue
JEL: E32; F42
Abstract: We assess the correlation of supply and demand shocks between the euro area, the EU accession countries and also the present EU countries.Shocks are recovered from estimated structural vector autoregressive models.We find that some advanced accession countries have quite high correlation with the euro area.However, even for many high income accession countries the degree of correlation remains low.Also, in the 90s many EU countries seemed to have much higher correlation with the core euro area countries than in previous decades.Continuing integration within the EU seems to have aligned business cycles of the countries as well. Keywords: optimal currency area, monetary union, EU enlargement JEL classification numbers: E32, F42
Rights: https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/copyright


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