Examining current or future trade-offs for biodiversity conservation in north-eastern Australia

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dc.contributor.author Reside, April E.
dc.contributor.author VanDerWal, Jeremy
dc.contributor.author Moilanen, Atte
dc.contributor.author Graham, Erin M.
dc.date.accessioned 2017-04-20T12:43:01Z
dc.date.available 2017-04-20T12:43:01Z
dc.date.issued 2017-02-21
dc.identifier.citation Reside , A E , VanDerWal , J , Moilanen , A & Graham , E M 2017 , ' Examining current or future trade-offs for biodiversity conservation in north-eastern Australia ' , PLoS One , vol. 12 , no. 2 , 0172230 . https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0172230
dc.identifier.other PURE: 83096748
dc.identifier.other PURE UUID: 1473288c-e735-43ae-adc9-55308eb6bf31
dc.identifier.other WOS: 000394676800044
dc.identifier.other Scopus: 85013409506
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10138/180429
dc.description.abstract With the high rate of ecosystem change already occurring and predicted to occur in the coming decades, long-term conservation has to account not only for current biodiversity but also for the biodiversity patterns anticipated for the future. The trade-offs between prioritising future biodiversity at the expense of current priorities must be understood to guide current conservation planning, but have been largely unexplored. To fill this gap, we compared the performance of four conservation planning solutions involving 662 vertebrate species in the Wet Tropics Natural Resource Management Cluster Region in north-eastern Australia. Input species data for the four planning solutions were: 1) current distributions; 2) projected distributions for 2055; 3) projected distributions for 2085; and 4) current, 2055 and 2085 projected distributions, and the connectivity between each of the three time periods for each species. The four planning solutions were remarkably similar (up to 85% overlap), suggesting that modelling for either current or future scenarios is sufficient for conversation planning for this region, with little obvious trade-off. Our analyses also revealed that overall, species with small ranges occurring across steep elevation gradients and at higher elevations were more likely to be better represented in all solutions. Given that species with these characteristics are of high conservation significance, our results provide confidence that conservation planning focused on either current, near-or distant-future biodiversity will account for these species. en
dc.format.extent 17
dc.language.iso eng
dc.relation.ispartof PLoS One
dc.rights unspecified
dc.rights.uri info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject CLIMATE-CHANGE
dc.subject SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS
dc.subject PROTECTED AREAS
dc.subject REGRESSION TREES
dc.subject BIRDS
dc.subject UNCERTAINTY
dc.subject ABUNDANCE
dc.subject DIVERSITY
dc.subject SCENARIOS
dc.subject INCREASE
dc.subject 1172 Environmental sciences
dc.title Examining current or future trade-offs for biodiversity conservation in north-eastern Australia en
dc.type Article
dc.contributor.organization Biosciences
dc.description.reviewstatus Peer reviewed
dc.relation.doi https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0172230
dc.relation.issn 1932-6203
dc.rights.accesslevel openAccess
dc.type.version publishedVersion

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