Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling - Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests

Show simple item record Holmberg, Maria Aalto, Tuula Akujarvi, Anu Arslan, Ali Nadir Bergstrom, Irina Bottcher, Kristin Lahtinen, Ismo Makela, Annikki Markkanen, Tiina Minunno, Francesco Peltoniemi, Mikko Rankinen, Katri Vihervaara, Petteri Forsius, Martin 2019-04-11T12:39:02Z 2019-04-11T12:39:02Z 2019-03-26
dc.identifier.citation Holmberg , M , Aalto , T , Akujarvi , A , Arslan , A N , Bergstrom , I , Bottcher , K , Lahtinen , I , Makela , A , Markkanen , T , Minunno , F , Peltoniemi , M , Rankinen , K , Vihervaara , P & Forsius , M 2019 , ' Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling - Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests ' , Frontiers in plant science , vol. 10 , 343 .
dc.identifier.other PURE: 123879301
dc.identifier.other PURE UUID: 7638f0dd-e95a-42c6-9108-02b89c20e55e
dc.identifier.other WOS: 000462476200001
dc.identifier.other ORCID: /0000-0001-9633-7350/work/56403066
dc.description.abstract Forests regulate climate, as carbon, water and nutrient fluxes are modified by physiological processes of vegetation and soil. Forests also provide renewable raw material, food, and recreational possibilities. Rapid climate warming projected for the boreal zone may change the provision of these ecosystem services. We demonstrate model based estimates of present and future ecosystem services related to carbon cycling of boreal forests. The services were derived from biophysical variables calculated by two dynamic models. Future changes in the biophysical variables were driven by climate change scenarios obtained as results of a sample of global climate models downscaled for Finland, assuming three future pathways of radiative forcing. We introduce continuous monitoring on phenology to be used in model parametrization through a webcam network with automated image processing features. In our analysis, climate change impacts on key boreal forest ecosystem services are both beneficial and detrimental. Our results indicate an increase in annual forest growth of about 60% and an increase in annual carbon sink of roughly 40% from the reference period (1981-2010) to the end of the century. The vegetation active period was projected to start about 3 weeks earlier and end ten days later by the end of the century compared to currently. We found a risk for increasing drought, and a decrease in the number of soil frost days. Our results show a considerable uncertainty in future provision of boreal forest ecosystem services. en
dc.format.extent 14
dc.language.iso eng
dc.relation.ispartof Frontiers in plant science
dc.rights cc_by
dc.rights.uri info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject forest growth
dc.subject carbon sink
dc.subject vegetation active period
dc.subject JSBACH
dc.subject PREBAS
dc.subject model
dc.subject continuous monitoring
dc.subject webcam
dc.subject INDICATORS
dc.subject MANAGEMENT
dc.subject CANADA
dc.subject 4112 Forestry
dc.title Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling - Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests en
dc.type Article
dc.contributor.organization Department of Forest Sciences
dc.contributor.organization Ecosystem processes (INAR Forest Sciences)
dc.contributor.organization Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR)
dc.contributor.organization Forest Modelling Group
dc.description.reviewstatus Peer reviewed
dc.relation.issn 1664-462X
dc.rights.accesslevel openAccess
dc.type.version publishedVersion

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