A simulation exercise for incorporating long-term path dependencies in urgent decision-making

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http://hdl.handle.net/10138/333504

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Järvensivu , P , Räisänen , H & Hukkinen , J 2021 , ' A simulation exercise for incorporating long-term path dependencies in urgent decision-making ' , Futures : The journal of policy, planning and futures studies , vol. 132 , 102812 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102812

Title: A simulation exercise for incorporating long-term path dependencies in urgent decision-making
Author: Järvensivu, Paavo; Räisänen, Helmi; Hukkinen, Janne
Contributor: University of Helsinki, Social Policy
University of Helsinki, Creative adaptation to wicked socio-environmental disruptions (WISE STN)
Date: 2021-09
Language: eng
Number of pages: 13
Belongs to series: Futures : The journal of policy, planning and futures studies
ISSN: 0016-3287
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10138/333504
Abstract: Urban policymakers of the 2020s must act within various types of wicked socio-ecological disruptions. Under deep uncertainty and time pressure, they must make decisions which will define the scope of possible actions in the future. Our aim was to develop a research instrument that would enable researchers and practitioners to learn about such policymaking. We designed and ran a half-day simulation exercise, the Policy Operations Room (POR). The participants were the top politicians and a group of senior experts from the City of Helsinki, Finland. The design of the exercise was based on a review of simulation and gaming research literature. The exercise managed to integrate - albeit imperfectly - the utilitarian and emancipatory dimensions in futures studies: it gave the participants the utilitarian possibility to practice decision-making and the emancipatory possibility to critically reflect on decision-making in wicked, science-based scenarios. It also gave the researchers a chance to witness urgent decision-making in action. Issues deserving further attention include the inclusion of social-political complexity in the scenarios and practitioner involvement in the design process of the exercise. All in all, the POR constitutes a unique way of integrating science-based assessment of future path dependencies into science-policy research and interaction.
Subject: 1172 Environmental sciences
5142 Social policy
Simulation exercise
Long-term path dependencies
Urgent decision-making
Climate
Energy
Policy operations room
MANAGEMENT
PREPAREDNESS
DISASTER
FUTURES
GAMES
POLICY
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