Climate and landscape changes enhance the global spread of a bloom-forming dinoflagellate related to fish kills and water quality deterioration

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http://hdl.handle.net/10138/338007

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Macêdo , R L , Sampaio Franco , A C , Russo , P , Collart , T , Mammola , S , Jeppesen , E , Castelo Branco , C W , dos Santos , L N & Rocha , O 2021 , ' Climate and landscape changes enhance the global spread of a bloom-forming dinoflagellate related to fish kills and water quality deterioration ' , Ecological Indicators , vol. 133 , 108408 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108408

Title: Climate and landscape changes enhance the global spread of a bloom-forming dinoflagellate related to fish kills and water quality deterioration
Author: Macêdo, Rafael Lacerda; Sampaio Franco, Ana Clara; Russo, Philip; Collart, Tim; Mammola, Stefano; Jeppesen, Erik; Castelo Branco, Christina Wyss; dos Santos, Luciano Neves; Rocha, Odete
Contributor organization: Zoology
Finnish Museum of Natural History
Date: 2021-12
Language: eng
Number of pages: 10
Belongs to series: Ecological Indicators
ISSN: 1470-160X
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108408
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10138/338007
Abstract: Global inland water biodiversity is under mounting stress facing future scenarios of climate change, biological invasions, pollution, diversion, damming of rivers, and increase of water abstractions. Apart from having isolated effects, all these stressors threats act synergistically and thus pose additional emerging threats to biodiversity and ecosystem services. Native to Northern Europe, the nuisance and potential toxic dinoflagellate Ceratium furcoides (Levander) Langhans 1925 is a silent invader that blooms in freshwater systems; it has one of the most rapid spread rates globally. We propose a framework to determine the worldwide most vulnerable areas for the invasion by C. furcoides shortly (2041-2060) by combining future scenarios of climate change (a proxy for invasiveness) derived from ecological niche models with future dam construction data (a proxy for invasibility). The nine models applied in four future scenarios of greenhouse gas emission from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 showed a general increase in areas suitable for the invasion success of C. furcoides. High susceptibility overlapped with areas densely occupied by large and medium-size dams and future dam construction projects. Considering that C. furcoides can reproduce from a single cell, produces resistant stages, and has several strategies to cope with local environmental constraints, early detection protocols, and mitigation actions are urgently needed to avoid biodiversity declines related to this invader.
Subject: Algal blooms
Dam constructions
Ecological Niche Modelling
Invasibility
Invasiveness
Climate change
FURCOIDES LEVANDER LANGHANS
CERATIUM-FURCOIDES
BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS
NICHE SHIFT
1ST RECORD
RESERVOIRS
IMPACTS
PHYTOPLANKTON
MODELS
BIODIVERSITY
1172 Environmental sciences
1181 Ecology, evolutionary biology
Peer reviewed: Yes
Rights: cc_by_nc_nd
Usage restriction: openAccess
Self-archived version: publishedVersion


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