FINADAPT scenarios for the 21st century. Alternative futures for considering adaptation to climate change in Finland. FINADAPT Working Paper 2

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dc.contributor.author Carter, Timothy R.
dc.contributor.author Jylhä, Kirsti
dc.contributor.author Perrels, Adriaan
dc.contributor.author Fronzek, Stefan
dc.contributor.author Kankaanpää, Susanna
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-08T09:59:21Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-08T09:59:21Z
dc.date.issued 2005
dc.identifier.isbn 952-11-2064-9
dc.identifier.issn 1455-0792
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10138/41040
dc.description.abstract A set of three scenarios of environmental and socio-economic conditions in Finland during the 21st century is presented. The scenarios were developed to provide a contextual framework for research into adaptation to climate change in the FINADAPT project. They have similarities to the IPCC SRES global scenarios, but they also differ from SRES because they are national in scope and they account for climate policy. The scenarios are labelled: Global Markets, assuming low greenhouse gas levels, high economic growth with rapid technological development (related to SRES A1T); Sustainability, assuming low greenhouse gas levels, sustainability goals with slower economic growth than Global Markets and rapid technological development (related to SRES B1); and Retrenchment, assuming high global greenhouse gas emissions, a world in blocs with unbalanced wealth, rapid population growth and obstacles to technological proliferation and trade (related to SRES A2). The scenarios span four time frames (climatological averaging periods in brackets): present-day (1971-2000), near-term (1991-2020), mid-term (2021-2050), and long-term (2071-2100), and the requirements for adaptation are then treated as if they apply in 2005 (present-day), 2020, 2050 and 2100. Quantitative scenario information on socio-economic development, climate, CO2 concentration, nitrogen deposition and land use change has been provided, with detailed data available from the FINADAPT web site or from relevant partner institutes. fi
dc.language.iso en fi
dc.publisher Finnish Environment Institute fi
dc.relation.ispartofseries Finnish Environment Institute Mimeographs 332 (Suomen ympäristökeskuksen moniste 332) fi
dc.subject FINADAPT
dc.title FINADAPT scenarios for the 21st century. Alternative futures for considering adaptation to climate change in Finland. FINADAPT Working Paper 2 fi
dc.identifier.laitoskoodi Suomen ympäristökeskus fi
dc.subject.ysa ilmastonmuutokset
dc.subject.ysa sopeutuminen
dc.subject.ysa skenaariot

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