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Connectivity, probabilities and persistence: comparing reserve selection strategies

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dc.contributor.author Van Teeffelen, Astrid en
dc.contributor.author Cabeza, Mar en
dc.contributor.author Moilanen, Atte en
dc.contributor.other Metapopulation Research Group, Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, PO Box 65, FI-00014 Helsinki, Finland. en
dc.date.accessioned 2007-10-23T12:08:54Z en
dc.date.accessioned 2009-06-17T14:02:33Z
dc.date.available 2007-10-23T12:08:54Z en
dc.date.available 2009-06-17T14:02:33Z
dc.date.issued 2006 en
dc.identifier.citation Biodiversity and Conservation (2006) 15:899–919 en
dc.identifier.issn 0960-3115 en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1975/7273
dc.description.abstract Reserve selection methods are often based on information on species’ occurrence. This can be presence–absence data, or probabilities of occurrence estimated with species distribution models. However, the effect of the choice of distribution model on the outcome of a reserve selection method has been ignored. Here we test a range of species distribution models with three different reserve selection methods. The distribution models had different combinations of variables related to habitat quality and connectivity (which incorporates the effect of spatial habitat configuration on species occurrence). The reserve selection methods included (i) a minimum set approach without spatial considerations; (ii) a clustering reserve selection method; and (iii) a dynamic approach where probabilities of occurrence are re-evaluated according to the spatial pattern of selected sites. The sets of selected reserves were assessed by re-computing species probability of occurrence in reserves using the best probability model and assuming loss of non-selected habitat. The results show that particular choices of distribution model and selection method may lead to reserves that overestimate the achieved target; in other words, species may seem to be represented but the reserve network may actually not be able to support them in the long-term. Instead, the use of models that incorporated connectivity as a variable resulted in the selection of aggregated reserves with higher potential for species long-term persistence. As reserve design aims at the longterm protection of species, it is important to be aware of the uncertainties related to model and method choice and their implications. en
dc.language.iso en en
dc.publisher Springer en
dc.relation.ispartofseries Biodiversity and Conservation en
dc.relation.ispartofseries 15 en
dc.subject Connectivity en
dc.subject Habitat loss en
dc.subject Habitat model en
dc.subject Persistence en
dc.subject Probability of occurrence en
dc.subject Reserve selection en
dc.title Connectivity, probabilities and persistence: comparing reserve selection strategies en
dc.type Article en
dc.identifier.laitoskoodi B571151 fi
dc.creator.corporateName Metapopulaatiobiologian tutkimusryhmä (Bio- ja ympäristötieteiden laitos. Ekologia ja evoluutiobiologia) fi
dc.creator.corporateName Metapopulation Research Group (Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences. Ecology a nd Evolutionary Biology) en
dc.creator.corporateName Metapopulationsbiologi, Forskningsgruppen för (Institutionen för bio- och miljövetenskaper. Ekologi och evolutionsbiologi) sv

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