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T1  - Impacts of oil spills on Arctic marine ecosystems: A quantitative and probabilistic risk assessment perspective 
SN  -  /  
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10138/313529 
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A1  - Helle, Inari; Mäkinen, Jussi Antti-Eerikki; Nevalainen, Maisa Katariina; Afenyo, Mawuli; Vanhatalo, Jarno 
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PB  -  
Y1  - 2020 
LA  - eng 
AB  - Oil spills resulting from maritime accidents pose a poorly understood risk to the Arctic environment. We propose a novel probabilistic method to quantitatively assess these risks. Our method accounts for spatiotemporally varying population distributions, the spreading of oil, and seasonally varying species-specific exposure potential and sensitivity to oil. It quantifies risk with explicit uncertainty estimates, enables one to compare risks over large geographic areas, and produces information o... 
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KW  - 1181 Ecology, evolutionary biology; 1172 Environmental sciences; 1171 Geosciences; 112 Statistics and probability; MODEL; SEA; ICE; TRANSPORT; FATE 
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