TY - T1 - Predicting ice-induced load amplitudes on ship bow conditional on ice thickness and ship speed in the Baltic Sea SN - / UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10138/297765 T3 - A1 - Kotilainen, Mikko; Vanhatalo, Jarno Petteri; Suominen, Mikko; Kujala, Pentti A2 - PB - Y1 - 2017 LA - eng AB - Transportation in ice prone waters is a timely topic due to the pursuit for arctic natural resources and sea routes. One important safety aspect in designing ships that enter ice prone waters is to determine the ice-induced loads on ships. However, ice is a particularly inconsistent material; therefore it is difficult to predict the occurring loads when the ship hull breaks the ice. We propose a novel probabilistic, Bayesian, method for modeling and predicting ice load distributions in different... VO - IS - SP - OP - KW - 112 Statistics and probability; 1172 Environmental sciences N1 - PP - ER -