TY - T1 - Refining predictions of metacommunity dynamics by modeling species non-independence SN - / UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10138/318250 T3 - A1 - Opedal, Øystein H.; von Numers, Mikael; Tikhonov, Gleb; Ovaskainen, Otso A2 - PB - Y1 - 2020 LA - eng AB - Abstract Predicting the dynamics of biotic communities is difficult because species? environmental responses are not independent, but covary due to shared or contrasting ecological strategies and the influence of species interactions. We used latent-variable joint species distribution models to analyse paired historical and contemporary inventories of 585 vascular plant species on 471 islands in the south-west Finnish archipelago. Larger, more heterogeneous islands were characterized by higher c... VO - IS - SP - OP - KW - 1181 Ecology, evolutionary biology; island biogeography; joint species distribution models; metacommunity dynamics; species interactions; topographic complexity; vegetation dynamics; ENVIRONMENTAL HETEROGENEITY; COMMUNITY ECOLOGY; POPULATION; RICHNESS; VASCULAR PLANTS; DISTRIBUTIONS; DISTRIBUTION PATTERNS; PHYLOGENETIC RELATEDNESS; LONG-TERM CHANGES; SW ARCHIPELAGO N1 - PP - ER -